Find Di Fallacy
Short quotes from di table. Name di bias wey dey work: gambler fallacy, hot hand, illusion of control, to chase loss or memory wey dey choose.
Ten quotes from pool of fifteen, five biases, one correct answer for each. Every one of dem, person don tok am for roulette table tonight.
Di five biases
Gambler fallacy: one result “don due” becos e never show. Hot handmythHot handDi belief sey wins wey follow each oda, or one result wey dey repeat, go make anoda one more likely. For di wheel, na di gambler fallacy wey dem turn around.Read di whole tin →: streak go continue. Illusion of control: sometin wey you do dey change di outcome. To chase loss: di losses wey don pass make di next bet necessary. Memory wey dey choose: you dey remember di hits and you no dey remember di misses. For real tok dem dey enter each oda, so dem write each quote for di quiz make e get one clear answer.
How we dey score
10: you fit run di pit.
8–9: you go hear dese ones all evening and smile.
5–7: you sabi di gambler fallacy; di Myths section dey cover di rest.
Under 5: read “Why Roulette Dey Hold Pipo Like Dis?” Na di whole list with di science.
Questions wey pipo dey ask
For roulette, no. For some sports wey need skill, di evidence dey mixed. Di wheel no get skill wey fit dey hot.
To chase loss, far pass di oda ones. Di oda ones dey change which bet you go make; to chase loss dey change how much.
Small laugh
Five biases. Na one pigeon dem all dey catch.
Sources
- Tversky, A. and Kahneman, D. “Judgment under uncertainty: heuristics and biases.”
- Langer, E. “The illusion of control.”